Blog

Oil Prices! America is the New Oil King. OPEC Saudi Arabia Iran Russia are going broke!

Oil Prices are low but not for long. The Shale Game is dying & OPEC/Russia is desperate. Trump keeping oil prices low is an act of war! 90% of Saudi Arabia and OPEC GDP is 90%+. Without Oil They Will Not Survive. Russia is in a similar predicament as Oil is 60% of their GDP. America doesn’t need Saudi Oil and we flaunt it in their faces every chance we get. OPEC has been manipulation oil prices and controlling the worlds oil supply for years. For the first time they have little control and they loose market share to America. Every time Saudi OPEC cartel cuts back America fills the order taking more market share. OPEC is desperately trying to find ways to increase oil prices!

Video Script:

0:00:01.999,0:00:07.260

you guys Sean Pruett here happy Friday

0:00:05.250,0:00:11.190

today’s casual Friday I don’t dress up

0:00:07.260,0:00:13.139

nice on Fridays um a lot of people are

0:00:11.190,0:00:16.680

wanting wondering what’s what the hell’s

0:00:13.139,0:00:19.199

going on in the oil markets well Iran

0:00:16.680,0:00:22.949

has been trying to suck us into a battle

0:00:19.199,0:00:26.000

and it hasn’t worked for them

0:00:22.949,0:00:30.420

Iran dropped bombs in saudi arabia and

0:00:26.000,0:00:33.390

Saudi Arabia Russia Iran OPEC they were

0:00:30.420,0:00:35.700

all hoping oil prices went up to 100

0:00:33.390,0:00:37.500

something dollars a barrel now the

0:00:35.700,0:00:40.620

reason why I know this I mean history

0:00:37.500,0:00:44.879

repeats itself you follow the money okay

0:00:40.620,0:00:46.710

I mean they don’t produce oil just to

0:00:44.879,0:00:50.520

produce oil they’re doing it for the

0:00:46.710,0:00:51.960

money they they love money more than

0:00:50.520,0:00:55.770

anything okay

0:00:51.960,0:00:57.780

OPEC loves money more than anything it’s

0:00:55.770,0:01:00.449

where they get their power control and

0:00:57.780,0:01:03.910

without it they’re nothing okay right

0:01:00.449,0:01:06.580

now Saudi Arabia’s economy

0:01:03.910,0:01:09.820

isn’t it cannot last much longer with

0:01:06.580,0:01:11.830

these current oil prices I’m not gonna

0:01:09.820,0:01:14.560

sit here and explain all the details to

0:01:11.830,0:01:18.070

you but all the money that they have

0:01:14.560,0:01:20.860

made by becoming the richest oil country

0:01:18.070,0:01:22.840

in the world it is drying up faster than

0:01:20.860,0:01:25.090

you can believe in order for them to

0:01:22.840,0:01:26.650

break even this year oil prices need to

0:01:25.090,0:01:27.910

be $80 a barrel that means they’re

0:01:26.650,0:01:30.070

losing money right now

0:01:27.910,0:01:31.870

not not only are they losing money

0:01:30.070,0:01:34.620

they’re also losing market share right

0:01:31.870,0:01:37.500

now and so they’re seeing their oil

0:01:34.620,0:01:45.450

power

0:01:37.500,0:01:46.410

dissipating 90% of their GDP is oil Iran

0:01:45.450,0:01:50.250

same thing

0:01:46.410,0:01:52.080

OPEC same thing Russia 60% of their GDP

0:01:50.250,0:01:54.180

GDP is also what do you think they’re

0:01:52.080,0:01:56.430

gonna do you think they’re gonna sit

0:01:54.180,0:01:58.820

back now here’s here’s something you

0:01:56.430,0:02:03.920

guys have to understand they have been

0:01:58.820,0:02:03.920

manipulating oil prices for a long time

0:02:04.280,0:02:09.710

that’s the only way they know to

0:02:06.260,0:02:12.650

increase oil prices they control supply

0:02:09.710,0:02:14.600

and demand and they control oil prices

0:02:12.650,0:02:17.780

for the first time because of Donald

0:02:14.600,0:02:20.810

Trump they cannot control oil prices

0:02:17.780,0:02:24.620

we’re taking over market share and we’re

0:02:20.810,0:02:28.250

keeping oil prices low why it is to keep

0:02:24.620,0:02:30.620

the money out of the wrong hands every

0:02:28.250,0:02:34.670

single war that broke out in the Middle

0:02:30.620,0:02:38.290

East was funded by oil and oil alone

0:02:34.670,0:02:42.620

now I was reading an article today

0:02:38.290,0:02:46.130

Goldman Sachs sees opportunity right now

0:02:42.620,0:02:49.010

in the shell crisis shale oil here in

0:02:46.130,0:02:52.100

the US we went from producing 6 million

0:02:49.010,0:02:54.310

barrels a day to producing 15 million ok

0:02:52.100,0:02:57.530

that’s it’s almost an extra 10 million

0:02:54.310,0:03:00.470

barrels of oil a day because of shell

0:02:57.530,0:03:02.750

alone problem with shale is the it’s

0:03:00.470,0:03:05.390

very expensive because you need fracking

0:03:02.750,0:03:09.530

technology in order extract it and then

0:03:05.390,0:03:11.150

on top of that you need and on top of

0:03:09.530,0:03:13.220

that the decline curve is much higher

0:03:11.150,0:03:16.580

because if you’re going to manipulate

0:03:13.220,0:03:18.890

oil to get it out of a shale that was

0:03:16.580,0:03:20.900

never intended to extract oil it will

0:03:18.890,0:03:24.290

return back to what the original

0:03:20.900,0:03:26.180

porosity was over time so you frack the

0:03:24.290,0:03:28.190

hell out of it and then you produce as

0:03:26.180,0:03:30.950

much oil as you can but all of a sudden

0:03:28.190,0:03:34.030

it drops down to those low numbers again

0:03:30.950,0:03:37.190

so the decline curve is massive versus a

0:03:34.030,0:03:39.110

conventional oil well that is

0:03:37.190,0:03:41.780

sustainable it could produce like that

0:03:39.110,0:03:43.370

for 20 30 years but shale it might

0:03:41.780,0:03:45.200

produce for 2 or 3 years and then it

0:03:43.370,0:03:48.590

goes back to what she originally

0:03:45.200,0:03:50.209

intended which is nothing and so they

0:03:48.590,0:03:52.549

could either spend another 5 million and

0:03:50.209,0:03:54.170

go back and recompete the well or they

0:03:52.549,0:03:58.489

just let it sit there and dribble out

0:03:54.170,0:04:01.310

and so a lot of these shell companies I

0:03:58.489,0:04:03.560

was reading here the mountain of debt

0:04:01.310,0:04:06.140

looms just over horizon according the

0:04:03.560,0:04:08.090

Wall Street Journal between july 2019 in

0:04:06.140,0:04:10.070

the end of the year roughly nine billion

0:04:08.090,0:04:14.120

in debt was set to mature however

0:04:10.070,0:04:17.269

between 2020 and 2022 a whopping 137

0:04:14.120,0:04:19.519

billion in shale debt matures the

0:04:17.269,0:04:22.070

fracking industry does not have a viable

0:04:19.519,0:04:24.500

business model according to analysis at

0:04:22.070,0:04:28.669

the institute for energy economics and

0:04:24.500,0:04:30.560

financial analysis and so what what

0:04:28.669,0:04:33.380

they’re saying is they they don’t have a

0:04:30.560,0:04:35.000

viable business model the viable the

0:04:33.380,0:04:37.789

business model that they have in shale

0:04:35.000,0:04:40.100

is in order to maintain the output it

0:04:37.789,0:04:42.440

just keep drilling Shale wells well you

0:04:40.100,0:04:45.530

can’t take the profits from producing

0:04:42.440,0:04:47.800

Shale wells and put it into brand-new

0:04:45.530,0:04:51.910

Shale wells because

0:04:47.800,0:04:51.910

there’s not enough profitability

0:04:52.090,0:04:58.060

for everyone well that you drill in

0:04:54.550,0:05:00.940

order to maintain that peak number you

0:04:58.060,0:05:02.470

have to have three or four wells I’ve

0:05:00.940,0:05:04.600

been pumping for the last two years

0:05:02.470,0:05:06.100

because the decline curve is massive so

0:05:04.600,0:05:09.760

it becomes on line strong and then it

0:05:06.100,0:05:11.290

declines uh there there there there’s no

0:05:09.760,0:05:14.200

clear objective

0:05:11.290,0:05:17.350

it’s just drill like crazy and hope we

0:05:14.200,0:05:20.080

find a new technology or a new discovery

0:05:17.350,0:05:22.740

to help us with this shale problem but

0:05:20.080,0:05:26.270

they never intended

0:05:22.740,0:05:29.740

on shell

0:05:26.270,0:05:32.930

taking over they never intended for

0:05:29.740,0:05:36.440

shale to replace conventional oil wells

0:05:32.930,0:05:38.300

shale was just hey

0:05:36.440,0:05:41.140

there’s no other place to really develop

0:05:38.300,0:05:45.230

right now let’s give the shell game a

0:05:41.140,0:05:49.160

whirl and then it exploded with no plans

0:05:45.230,0:05:53.450

of it ever even considering replacing

0:05:49.160,0:05:58.760

oil see so we’re in for a massive

0:05:53.450,0:06:02.990

decline there there the hens have come

0:05:58.760,0:06:05.570

home to roost are the Roosters whatever

0:06:02.990,0:06:08.960

that saying is sorry I guess you know

0:06:05.570,0:06:12.669

the the debt is escalating in the shell

0:06:08.960,0:06:15.159

game and the longer oil prices are low

0:06:12.669,0:06:17.550

the more shell companies are going to go

0:06:15.159,0:06:17.550

out of business

0:06:20.030,0:06:24.949

Goldman Sachs says the current down

0:06:22.229,0:06:27.509

market represents a buying opportunity

0:06:24.949,0:06:29.849

through August of this year more than

0:06:27.509,0:06:32.129

190 shell companies have declared

0:06:29.849,0:06:34.949

bankruptcy since 2015

0:06:32.129,0:06:36.090

according to haynes and boone LLP so

0:06:34.949,0:06:38.610

bottom line here guys

0:06:36.090,0:06:40.199

oil prices have been low for a long time

0:06:38.610,0:06:43.169

shell companies are going out of

0:06:40.199,0:06:46.530

business developing shell wells is

0:06:43.169,0:06:49.740

declining massively the decline curve

0:06:46.530,0:06:53.340

the daily output of oil is declining

0:06:49.740,0:06:56.189

quickly as well so our output is

0:06:53.340,0:06:58.050

dropping tremendously and so right now

0:06:56.189,0:07:01.520

it’s cheap to buy leases is cheaper to

0:06:58.050,0:07:05.270

drill so you get in now

0:07:01.520,0:07:08.090

and as the as as oil the decline curve

0:07:05.270,0:07:11.840

increases as less wells are being

0:07:08.090,0:07:15.440

drilled oil output is going to drop

0:07:11.840,0:07:19.160

tremendously and of course when supply

0:07:15.440,0:07:22.370

goes down and demand goes up what do you

0:07:19.160,0:07:24.860

have and so oil prices are going to go

0:07:22.370,0:07:26.900

up with that okay that’s number one

0:07:24.860,0:07:29.569

okay shell is a flash in the pan that’s

0:07:26.900,0:07:31.039

not gonna last and Goldman Sachs is

0:07:29.569,0:07:32.539

saying it’s a buying opportunity that’s

0:07:31.039,0:07:35.479

number one number two

0:07:32.539,0:07:37.820

Saudi Arabia is gonna do whatever it

0:07:35.479,0:07:40.009

takes to increase oil prices they’re

0:07:37.820,0:07:41.330

sitting on one of the the largest pre

0:07:40.009,0:07:45.380

IPOs in the world

0:07:41.330,0:07:47.000

Saudi Aramco as a stock that is were and

0:07:45.380,0:07:51.020

they just put a small percentage of

0:07:47.000,0:07:53.030

their oil holdings onto the stock

0:07:51.020,0:07:56.030

exchange and it could be worth upwards

0:07:53.030,0:07:58.490

of two trillion dollars they are having

0:07:56.030,0:08:00.889

a hell of a time raising money for that

0:07:58.490,0:08:03.229

thing it should have been easy but the

0:08:00.889,0:08:09.590

problem is oil prices are low there are

0:08:03.229,0:08:11.479

countries unstable and oil it in in in

0:08:09.590,0:08:13.340

there they’re they’re not even profiting

0:08:11.479,0:08:14.930

right now so nobody in the right minds

0:08:13.340,0:08:16.639

really gonna dump a bunch of money in

0:08:14.930,0:08:18.710

this sink so Saudi Arabia is gonna do

0:08:16.639,0:08:20.330

whatever it takes to increase oil prices

0:08:18.710,0:08:23.479

whatever it takes

0:08:20.330,0:08:26.719

they only know to manipulate oil prices

0:08:23.479,0:08:30.919

they only know to manipulate they only

0:08:26.719,0:08:34.010

know to manipulate supply demand and in

0:08:30.919,0:08:36.979

the past they cut back on production but

0:08:34.010,0:08:38.930

now when they cut back on production oil

0:08:36.979,0:08:42.709

prices remain the same because we are

0:08:38.930,0:08:45.410

filling those orders that they normally

0:08:42.709,0:08:48.230

would be filling and so we’re we’re

0:08:45.410,0:08:51.010

taking market share the u.s. is taken

0:08:48.230,0:08:53.149

over we’re taking market share and

0:08:51.010,0:08:55.670

there’s nothing they could do about it

0:08:53.149,0:08:57.980

so the only option though the only other

0:08:55.670,0:09:02.029

option is dropping bombs on key oil

0:08:57.980,0:09:04.040

fields Russia Saudi Arabia OPEC Iran

0:09:02.029,0:09:07.270

they all know this that’s why Iran keeps

0:09:04.040,0:09:12.780

trying to draw us into a war

0:09:07.270,0:09:12.780

if America made a deal with Saudi Arabia

0:09:13.930,0:09:18.940

a deal that made our currency the most

0:09:17.680,0:09:20.410

powerful currency in the world that’s

0:09:18.940,0:09:22.800

called the petro dollar we made a deal

0:09:20.410,0:09:25.679

with Saudi Arabia

0:09:22.800,0:09:30.059

that if they would sell their oil in our

0:09:25.679,0:09:32.009

currency we will protect their assets so

0:09:30.059,0:09:34.710

we worked closely with Saudi Arabia to

0:09:32.009,0:09:37.380

protect their oil wells

0:09:34.710,0:09:40.740

and they sold our oil in US currency in

0:09:37.380,0:09:44.250

that currency every time Russia Saudi

0:09:40.740,0:09:46.410

Arabia every China India would buy a

0:09:44.250,0:09:49.050

barrel of oil they had to do it in US

0:09:46.410,0:09:50.280

currency making our currency the most

0:09:49.050,0:09:52.710

powerful currents in the world we have

0:09:50.280,0:09:56.749

central banking systems in every country

0:09:52.710,0:09:59.730

except for North Korea and Cuba

0:09:56.749,0:10:01.860

ninety-five percent of the transactions

0:09:59.730,0:10:03.299

are done in our currency so that made

0:10:01.860,0:10:06.809

our currency the most powerful currency

0:10:03.299,0:10:09.059

in the world now now we don’t need Saudi

0:10:06.809,0:10:11.189

Arabia more because our currency is

0:10:09.059,0:10:13.439

already powerful nobody’s going to use

0:10:11.189,0:10:18.540

any other currency to replace us I mean

0:10:13.439,0:10:20.429

at least for now and we produce more oil

0:10:18.540,0:10:22.670

than Saudi Arabia we produce more oil

0:10:20.429,0:10:25.199

than Russia we don’t need them anymore

0:10:22.670,0:10:28.410

these guys are falling apart their

0:10:25.199,0:10:30.689

economy was based upon SOT upon the

0:10:28.410,0:10:34.019

relationship with America now we cut

0:10:30.689,0:10:35.610

them off now we are still allies but we

0:10:34.019,0:10:37.319

haven’t even sent in military aid to go

0:10:35.610,0:10:39.569

out against Iran they were expecting it

0:10:37.319,0:10:41.870

didn’t happen and so Russia is sitting

0:10:39.569,0:10:44.399

there like hmm

0:10:41.870,0:10:46.380

America is pulling out and they’re not

0:10:44.399,0:10:49.740

even really doing anything iran’s

0:10:46.380,0:10:52.170

thinking in bullshit the bushes would

0:10:49.740,0:10:53.520

have sent tanks in by now so here’s my

0:10:52.170,0:10:56.550

point

0:10:53.520,0:10:58.680

if there are some dirty politicians in

0:10:56.550,0:11:01.530

America that did a deal with Saudi

0:10:58.680,0:11:04.170

Arabia in

0:11:01.530,0:11:06.270

wrote things in the law to protect that

0:11:04.170,0:11:09.560

relationship making Saudi Arabia one of

0:11:06.270,0:11:09.560

the richest countries in the world

0:11:09.970,0:11:13.319

funding terrorism

0:11:14.480,0:11:22.010

hi how much more would Iran not make a

0:11:20.360,0:11:26.750

deal with somebody like Saudi Arabia

0:11:22.010,0:11:31.750

Russia somebody to try to draw America

0:11:26.750,0:11:35.839

into a war to make Saudi Arabia Russia

0:11:31.750,0:11:37.970

Kuwait Iran every country in the Middle

0:11:35.839,0:11:43.339

East richer because all they do is make

0:11:37.970,0:11:46.220

money from oil 8% of our GDP is oil 90%

0:11:43.339,0:11:47.329

of their GDP is oil you guys not see the

0:11:46.220,0:11:51.610

big picture here

0:11:47.329,0:11:51.610

oil is king – these guys

0:11:52.030,0:11:55.110

without it

0:11:55.220,0:12:01.800

they’re going to start

0:11:58.639,0:12:06.029

America’s starving the very thing that

0:12:01.800,0:12:07.270

funds all of the terror in the Middle

0:12:06.029,0:12:09.580

East

0:12:07.270,0:12:12.670

everything you take oil away from Russia

0:12:09.580,0:12:14.649

where they have 40% of our GDP I mean

0:12:12.670,0:12:18.430

they’re already already faltering as it

0:12:14.649,0:12:19.510

is you take away Saudi Arabia’s oil 90%

0:12:18.430,0:12:23.529

of their GDP is gone

0:12:19.510,0:12:25.029

if we keep oil prices as low as they are

0:12:23.529,0:12:27.220

they’re not profiting right now but if

0:12:25.029,0:12:34.060

we keeping them as low as they are right

0:12:27.220,0:12:36.790

now Russia Saudi Arabia Iran Kuwait all

0:12:34.060,0:12:41.830

of those countries overseas are gonna

0:12:36.790,0:12:44.170

fall in so my point is is that something

0:12:41.830,0:12:44.410

is gonna happen Russia’s not gonna allow

0:12:44.170,0:12:46.029

it

0:12:44.410,0:12:47.830

Saudi Arabia’s and not going to allow

0:12:46.029,0:12:51.220

this Iran is not gonna allow this

0:12:47.830,0:12:54.550

they’re gonna do something hastily

0:12:51.220,0:12:58.260

because it’s either oh hey let’s let our

0:12:54.550,0:12:59.580

country fall or

0:12:58.260,0:13:03.640

we could do something about it and

0:12:59.580,0:13:07.240

they’ve always manipulated oil prices

0:13:03.640,0:13:12.850

they have always done something to

0:13:07.240,0:13:16.200

viciously increase oil prices so shale

0:13:12.850,0:13:20.060

is is falling apart

0:13:16.200,0:13:25.540

which is gonna cause a higher demand

0:13:20.060,0:13:28.240

less oil higher demand and so

0:13:25.540,0:13:30.579

and in in in saudi-arabia stock a lot of

0:13:28.240,0:13:31.510

their country to go into default and

0:13:30.579,0:13:33.760

lose everything

0:13:31.510,0:13:35.649

so I don’t know what’s gonna happen in

0:13:33.760,0:13:37.959

the short-term but I’m telling you right

0:13:35.649,0:13:40.180

now now is the time to get involved with

0:13:37.959,0:13:43.690

oil oil prices are low Lesa Lesa

0:13:40.180,0:13:46.089

acquisitions are low drilling right now

0:13:43.690,0:13:49.750

is the activity is dropping tremendously

0:13:46.089,0:13:51.699

and so it’s causing people to be more

0:13:49.750,0:13:53.320

willing to work with you and drill at

0:13:51.699,0:13:55.029

cheaper rates so everything is much

0:13:53.320,0:13:57.399

cheaper right now good time to get

0:13:55.029,0:13:59.260

involved in oil and gas and on top of

0:13:57.399,0:14:03.250

that we know oil prices are gonna go up

0:13:59.260,0:14:04.630

and if you don’t believe the demand for

0:14:03.250,0:14:07.180

oil is going to increase and then you’re

0:14:04.630,0:14:10.449

believing the left side if you’re a

0:14:07.180,0:14:12.519

liberal and or you’re a Democrat I’ve no

0:14:10.449,0:14:13.839

offense but a lot of the things that

0:14:12.519,0:14:17.430

you’re hearing in the news and I think

0:14:13.839,0:14:20.649

most Democrats would agree most of it is

0:14:17.430,0:14:24.100

garbage and in it’s it’s not even

0:14:20.649,0:14:26.440

remotely true people are saying the

0:14:24.100,0:14:27.699

economy is falling apart our economy is

0:14:26.440,0:14:30.190

as strong as it’s ever been

0:14:27.699,0:14:32.620

our workforce is strong it’s ever been

0:14:30.190,0:14:34.269

and so CNN could get on there and say

0:14:32.620,0:14:39.959

certain things but it’s not even true

0:14:34.269,0:14:39.959

I’ve been following oil since

0:14:40.920,0:14:48.190

over the last 25 years since 94 and one

0:14:46.330,0:14:51.010

thing I’ve learned about the news is

0:14:48.190,0:14:53.620

that they don’t know what they’re

0:14:51.010,0:14:56.350

talking about you really need to follow

0:14:53.620,0:14:57.790

the experts there there’s there’s some

0:14:56.350,0:14:59.020

really intelligent guys out there that

0:14:57.790,0:15:03.280

really know what they’re talking about

0:14:59.020,0:15:05.350

but at the end of the day oil is the

0:15:03.280,0:15:09.040

most important commodity in the world

0:15:05.350,0:15:11.290

it’s what fuels all of our vehicles it’s

0:15:09.040,0:15:15.670

what gives energy to our homes

0:15:11.290,0:15:17.200

it’s what fuels wars without it we would

0:15:15.670,0:15:22.890

be dead in the water there are so many

0:15:17.200,0:15:26.260

byproducts to oil our airplanes plastics

0:15:22.890,0:15:29.650

there are so many applications to oil

0:15:26.260,0:15:33.040

that you have no idea cars are one part

0:15:29.650,0:15:37.210

of that whole application the byproduct

0:15:33.040,0:15:40.150

of oil you you it’s gonna take 30 40

0:15:37.210,0:15:42.090

years to replace oil and are they going

0:15:40.150,0:15:46.460

to replace it

0:15:42.090,0:15:50.310

I don’t know but oil is a non-renewable

0:15:46.460,0:15:50.880

substance there’s there’s whatever is in

0:15:50.310,0:15:53.510

the ground

0:15:50.880,0:15:57.810

there’s we’re not gonna create any more

0:15:53.510,0:16:00.540

okay so alright guys happy Friday

0:15:57.810,0:16:02.610

and if you ever have any questions feel

0:16:00.540,0:16:04.860

free to call me office number is three

0:16:02.610,0:16:07.140

oh seven six two two one six four five

0:16:04.860,0:16:11.750

once again that’s three zero seven six

0:16:07.140,0:16:11.750

two two one oil thanks

Debating the accuracy of the EIA’s predictions

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Todd Bennington | Kingdom Exploration Media
kingdomexploration.com

OPEC production cuts and per-barrel prices that recently went as high $65 are being counterbalanced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s prediction that U.S. crude production for the upcoming year will be record-setting. [1]

The agency is not without its detractors, however, who say it is overestimating things like the ability of technological developments to continue at a pace that enables increased production [2] while underestimating a turn by shale companies to the more disciplined approach of taking advantage of higher prices to pay down debt rather than expanding drilling operations. [3]

In a recent article at Seeking Alpha, Richard Zeits defends the EIA, saying that its critics need to better demonstrate where the agency’s calculations are allegedly breaking down and present their own detailed quantitative analysis as a basis for comparison. He goes on to say that criticism of the agency would ideally be part of a constructive discourse that helps it improve is forecasting process.

Zeits also notes that it’s the “least protected” category of investors who are most likely to be harmed by listening to possibly unsubstantiated claims made on blogs and in major media.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-oil-eia-outlook/eia-raises-2018-u-s-oil-output-forecast-to-highest-on-record-idUSKBN1E62IP
[2] https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Is-The-EIA-Overestimating-The-US-Shale-Boom.html
[3] http://www.pantagraph.com/business/investment/markets-and-stocks/this-oil-tycoon-thinks-the-u-s-government-s-oil/article_156fa0f7-a062-5ed3-8922-f15f1632675c.html
[4] https://seekingalpha.com/article/4131270-crude-oil-eia-bashers-check-numbers?source=all_articles_title

Extension of oil production cuts may mean higher prices in 2018

OPEC

Todd Bennington | Kingdom Exploration Media
http://kingdomexploration.com

OPEC and non-OPEC producers agreed last Thursday to extend oil production cuts that were set to expire in March until the end of next year. A meeting to review the agreement with an eye toward making any necessary adjustments has been scheduled for June.

Citing also the uncertainty surrounding social and political changes occurring in Saudi Arabia, at least one analyst predicts this could mean oil could reach $80 per barrel next year. [1]

Other factors potentially affecting oil prices include how the political situations in places like Libya, Nigeria, Venezuela, and Iraqi Kurdistan stabilize or deteriorate – as well as how U.S. producers react to price increases.

“If producers in the U.S. increase their rig count over the next few months due to higher prices then I expect another price collapse by the end of 2018,” an executive with one of the Permian Basin’s largest producers is quoted by Reuters as saying. “I hope that all U.S. shale companies will maintain their current rig counts and use all excess cash flow to increase dividends back to their shareholders.”[2]

[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/27/brent-crude-oil-may-hit-80-in-the-next-year-says-jim-oneill.html

[2] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-opec-meeting/opec-russia-agree-oil-cut-extension-to-end-of-2018-idUSKBN1DU0WW?il=0

Oil prices could go to $70 a barrel in 2018, analyst says

Arthur Berman
Art Berman

Todd Bennington, Kingdom Exploration Media

In a recent article published at oilprice.com, petroleum geologist Art Berman modifies his prior conservative stance on the likelihood of continued significant oil prices increases, writing that West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices between $60 and $70 per barrel are almost certain early next year and could very well rise above $70.

Some of the important takeaways from Berman’s article include the following:

• U.S. inventory oversupply is ending due to a combination of increased exports of crude oil and increased domestic consumption.

• Increased oil exportation is the result of an increased price spread between Brent and WTI, allowing U.S. exports to be sold abroad at prices lower than international averages but higher than what they can be sold for domestically. Also, U.S. refineries tend to prefer heavier crudes over WTI.

• Increased consumption primarily from vehicle usage has contributed to the draw down in inventory. It is questionable whether such consumption can continue in the long run as increasing gas prices will discourage consumption by drivers. According to Berman, WTI at $70 a barrel would result in gasoline costing an extra $1 per gallon.

• Higher oil prices are good for oil companies but bad for consumers and can stifle general economic growth both globally and domestically.

• Berman suggests that tight oil plays do not have sufficient reserve potential to meet global supply needs and that will mean more reliance on deep-water projects, which are expensive and have longer development timelines.

Read Berman’s article at https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Can-WTI-Hit-70-In-2018.html.